Man City's Premier League title bid: Predicted final table and how their run-in compares to Arsenal and Aston Villa

Man City head into the Premier League run-in hoping to spoil Arsenal’s party, and prevent Mikel Arteta from bringing the Gunners their first league title in 22 years. Pep Guardiola’s side’s last two Premier League titles were close battles against Arsenal, and so they know how to get the better of the Gunners.

City are four points behind Arsenal, and have seen some crucial results recently, such as their 2-1 win against Liverpool at Anfield, and a 3-0 win against Fulham in the following game. They have won three of their last four Premier League games and remain in the hunt against Arsenal.

As we prepare for the final run-in, we have rounded up the predicted table and how each of the title contenders’ run-in fixtures compares.

The current table

Here is the current title fight picture. Man City are hoping to catch up to Arsenal and keep themselves ahead of Unai Emery’s impressive Aston Villa side, who sit in third place.

1st - Arsenal - 57 points // +32GD

2nd - Manchester City - 53 points // +30GD

3rd - Aston Villa - 50 points // +10GD

The predicted final table

Here is the predicted final table, according to Opta Analyst’s supercomputer simulations.

1st - Arsenal - 81.88 points // title probability - 85.37%

2nd - Manchester City - 74.57 points // title probability - 12.64%

3rd - Aston Villa - 70.98 points // title probability - 1.91%

run-ins compared

Here are the remaining fixtures of the three major title contenders for the rest of the season, City still have Arsenal and Aston Vila to play against during the final weeks of the season.

Arsenal’s run-in

Wolves (A), Tottenham (A), Chelsea (H), Brighton (A), Everton (H), Bournemouth (H), Man City (A), Newcastle (H), Fulham (H), West Ham (A), Burnley (H), Crystal Palace (A)

Man City’s run-in

Newcastle (H), Leeds (A), Nottingham Forest (H), West Ham (A), Crystal Palace (H), Chelsea (A), Arsenal(H), Burnley (A), Everton (A), Brentford (H), Bournemouth (A), Aston Villa (H)

Aston Villa’s run-in

Leeds (H), Wolves (A), Chelsea (H), Man United (A), West Ham (H), Nottingham Forest (A), Sunderland (H), Fulham (A), Tottenham (H), Burnley (A), Liverpool (H), Man City (A)

In other Man City news, Man City plotting £70m move to sign England international who snubbed a move to Tottenham.