Manchester Christmas Day 2025 snow forecast - find out if there could be a white Christmas

Beautiful, wintry landscapes and snowfall are associated with Christmas but it is actually pretty rare for Manchester to experience a ‘white Christmas’. Find out is snow is on the cards this year below.

What is a white Christmas?

According to the Met Office, a ‘white Christmas’ is defined by one snowflake to falling in the 24 hours of Christmas Day, somewhere in the UK.

Technically, 2023 was the last 'white Christmas' due to this definition, however, the last widespread white Christmas in the UK was in 2010 with snow on the ground at 83% of the Met Office's stations - the highest amount ever recorded.

Accuweather Manchester Christmas Day 2025 snow verdict

Accuweather predicts a high of 7°C and a low of 3°C for Manchester on Christmas Day. While the forecast is subject to change this far away, there is currently no indication that it will snow in Manchester, with Accuweather predicting a 55% chance of precipitation and clouds.

Met Office Manchester Christmas Day 2025 snow verdict

While the Met Office does not produce day-by-day forecasts this far in advance, the weather does not mention snow in its long range prediction.

In its UK long range weather forecast (December 19 to 28), the Met Office said: “Showers or longer spells of rain are likely to continue at first for many parts of the country, perhaps heavy at times, but gradually over the weekend the weather is expected to become more settled.

“Scotland and Northern Ireland are likely to see this change first, with spells of rain perhaps slower to clear further across the south. Into the following week, high pressure is expected to become more widely established.

“Winds will be light and clearer skies are likely, however this does not rule out the odd shower, especially around coasts. High pressure and settled weather will result in temperatures falling to closer to average, with overnight frosts and morning fog which could be slow to clear.”

A spokesperson for the Met Office added: “We are more likely to see snow in January and February than in December, with snow actually settling on the ground (snow lying) an average of 3 days in December, compared to 3.3 days in January, 3.4 days in February and 1.9 days in March (1991 - 2020 long-term averaging period).

“White Christmases were more frequent in the 18th and 19th centuries, even more so before the change of calendar in 1752 which effectively brought Christmas Day back by 12 days. Climate change has also brought higher average temperatures over land and sea and this generally reduced the chances of a white Christmas.”